🎰 NBA Over Unders | NBA Over Under Betting | BetQL

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There are certain statistics that are important to handicapping the total line beyond points scored and points allowed. There are a number of other factors that go into handicapping NBA totals including pertinent injuries, a team's fatigue level and its overall motivation. Once you get into the second half of the regular season, you have to be aware of teams tanking games through a lack of effort on defense. Injuries can play a huge role in how a team's coach will approach a game. This can lead to some high-scoring blowouts in a mismatch. For some NBA teams the difference could be night and day, which in turn, will have a dramatic impact on scoring depending on where the game is played. He could also go in a whole other direction by trying and fill the void with bench players that have an opportunity to light it up. The final tip when handicapping NBA totals is to create a complete profile of a team in terms of everything covered above for when they are playing at home and playing on the road. Together, a team's offensive efficiency and its pace can often times be a good predictor of how many points it may score in comparison to their opponent's defensive efficiency.

The NBA remains one of the most popular leagues for anyone who loves to bet on sports. Even the worst teams in the league will go through cycles where they are scoring more how to bet nba over/under their average while playing much better on the defensive end.

These stats go hand-in-hand with the measure of a team's overall pace, which is a formula that calculates how many possessions a team averages a game. Skip to main content.

Betting trends tend to come and go as the season grinds on, but by paying close attention to a team's current playing form can lead to a profitable run on the total line that last several games. The basic starting point for handicapping any matchup for a play on the total line has to start with each team's scoring potential as well as the average amount of points they allow on the other end of the court. Fatigue will come into play during an extended road trip or by playing multiple games in a short amount of time. Certain teams in the NBA are notorious for scoring a ton of points a night, but they are also near the top of the list when it comes to average points allowed. However, records have shown that much of the action the NBA generates with the sportsbooks remains on the betting line or spread for the games. If a team's top scorer is out of the lineup, a coach may try and fill the void with a change in defensive strategy, which would work to keep the scoring low. Season scoring averages are good for painting the overall picture, but drilling down to a team's current form will give you much better insight for trying to predict future results. While the Oddsmakers would have obviously adjusted their total lines based on these averages, the total still went OVER in 44 of their 82 games, which is almost 54 percent of the time. The first two are offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency, which measures how many points a team scores offense or allows defense per possessions.